2016 global LED lighting industry development is diversified

In 2016, the global LED lighting industry developed in a diversified manner. Europe's high electricity prices, self-production assembly and product intelligence drive the development of LED lighting market; North American local assembly rises, the US dollar is strong, policy subsidies promote strong demand growth, and new cases drive LED commercial and engineering lighting to develop rapidly; Japan leads the promotion LED lighting applications, penetration rate has increased year by year, making the market expansion space limited, but industrial and commercial lighting has potential; China's construction, industrial lighting market demand continues to be optimistic, but due to numerous suppliers, price competition is intensifying. In addition, lighting demand in emerging markets such as Southeast Asia has increased year by year and has considerable potential. It is estimated that the global LED lighting market will reach US$28.6 billion in 2016, with LED lighting penetration rate of 34%; in 2018, it will reach US$31.9 billion and penetration rate of 47%.

In 2015, OLED began to capture the media layout frequently. In addition to the long-arranged Korean factory, Apple’s eye-catching autumn wave made the OLED layout warfare. In addition, the development of quantum dots and Micro LEDs is in full swing, adding many unknowns to the future of display technology. Under the impact of falling prices, the LED backlight market has seen a slippery decline in output value, and now it has to face the "self-illumination technology". In the internal and external threats, if the LED factory wants to have a place in the future display market, it must respond to the possible development of the next stage and make strategic layout early.

First-line suppliers move to niche applications, and the market value of LED lighting for interior lighting in 2020 is 611 million US dollars.

In 2015, the market value of LED lighting for interior lighting reached US$605 million, and it is estimated that it will rise to US$611 million in 2020. The overall output value will increase slightly in the next five years. Among them, the highest growth is the interior panel, and the estimated annual output growth rate is 3%. In addition, from 2015 to 2020, the LED market output value of automotive exterior lighting has a compound growth rate of 8%, of which 8% of the direction lights and fog lamps have grown, and the headlamp module (far-and-light) LED package output value has a compound annual growth rate. Up to 11%.

International first-line LED suppliers have gradually reduced the proportion of the backlight and lighting market, and in turn support niche applications such as vehicles. The high reliability demand of vehicles makes the first-line brands enjoy the advantage of monopoly market. After the breakthrough of the second-line brand LED quality, there is an opportunity to break the monopoly situation. In the next five years, the automotive LED market will flourish with the participation of more manufacturers.

In 2016, the market prospects for UV LED and infrared LED applications are good, and manufacturers continue to grab

Benefiting from the market demand for UV-A LED curing and the improvement of UV-C LED technology, the market value of UV LED in 2016 is estimated to reach US$140 million and will reach US$356 million in 2020.

The advantage of high unit price and high gross profit makes the UV LED market become the new blue ocean of manufacturers. The emerging manufacturers will continue to join in 2016~2018. However, only the chips and packagers will still face the pressure of price competition.

In addition, in the market for safety monitoring and iris/face recognition, the infrared LED market is also promising. LEDinside estimates that the market value of infrared LEDs (excluding the optical sensing components market) will reach US$278 million in 2016 and US$525 million in 2020, of which approximately US$174 million will be used for security surveillance.

With the continuous introduction of optical sensing components to wearable devices and the demand of mobile phone brand manufacturers, the optical sensing market demand in 2016 is also considerable.

In 2016, China's LED chip and packaging market share increased, and the competitiveness of international manufacturers gradually declined.

Affected by the global economic environment, the overall performance of China's LED industry in 2015 was sluggish. According to a research institute, the upstream LED chip market reached US$2.02 billion in 2015, with an annual decline of 7%, showing negative growth for the first time. The LED packaging market reached US$8.8 billion, with an annual growth rate of only 2%. Among them, Chinese manufacturers grew by 7%, while international manufacturers fell by 10%. Nichia, CREE and some Korean manufacturers in China's revenues fell significantly.

In 2016, China's LED chip production capacity will continue to be released, and the market share of China's chip manufacturers will increase. In the packaging field, as the technology gap continues to decrease, the overall competitiveness of international manufacturers will be weakened in price-dominated markets. Continue to expand the scale by means of mergers and acquisitions.

In 2016, global LED demand continued to grow, and the price of space fell.

In 2015, global LED output (including visible and invisible LEDs) came to $14.325 billion, with an annual decline of 3%. Nichia is still the world's leading LED component revenue leader, and OSRAM Opto Semiconductors and LumiLEDs are closely following. Due to the price hike between LED manufacturers, the average price of some mainstream LEDs has dropped by more than 40%, and with the strong appreciation of the US dollar, many manufacturers' revenues have declined.

In 2016, the overall demand for LEDs will continue to grow. In addition to the rise of backlighting applications due to the rise of OLED panels, applications such as general lighting, automotive lighting and display screens have grown. In addition, the pressure on LED price competition this year is still there. However, many products have been sold at a loss due to excessive price competition, and even close to the cost of cash, so the price of falling prices is relatively limited.

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