Affected by the traditional off-season and the lunar calendar, and the big environmental climate is still unclear, Taiwan's LED packaging manufacturers expect that the revenue in January will be unsatisfactory. In March and February, the visibility of orders is still low, and it is difficult to predict. Overall, the monthly revenue will wait until March, and there is a chance to rebound slightly. Not only is Guangbao's view on the first quarter conservative, including professional LED packaging factories such as Yiguang, Qihong and Hongqi, it is estimated that the first quarter of 2009 revenue will fall by 15%-20% compared with the previous quarter.
At present, NB backlights, outdoor billboards, lighting (including street lights, sign, landscape, situation, auxiliary, office, display, low temperature, etc.) and other three major applications, the most optimistic is expected to become the main camp of the LED industry in 2009 Receive growth momentum. However, the manufacturer believes that due to the short working days in the Lunar New Year holiday in January, the original working days in February are also small, and the current order visibility is low for 1-2 months, so in addition to the expected January camp In addition to the bad reception, it is difficult to predict in 2-3 months. However, it is generally believed that it is likely that in March, there will be a significant improvement in revenue.
In December 2008, Everlight's revenue fell to NT$615 million, and the accumulated revenue for the fourth quarter was NT$2.57 billion, a decrease of 16.7% from the previous quarter and a decline of 11% from the same period in 2007. Due to the financial evaluation losses and the loss of investment losses, industry insiders estimate that the fourth quarter earnings of Everlight will drop to NT$100 million in the fourth quarter, and the after-tax earnings per share for the single season will be estimated at around NT$0.4, cumulative for the entire year of 2008. The post-tax surplus is about NT$4. Due to the small number of working days in January, the revenue of Yiguang in January is expected to drop to around NT$500 million. The overall first-quarter revenue is expected to fall by 15%-20% from the previous quarter.
In December, the revenue of Haohong fell to NT$176 million. In the fourth quarter, the revenue for the single quarter was NT$774 million, a decrease of 25%. Due to the sharp decline in capacity utilization in the fourth quarter, the gross profit margin also slipped to around 15%. In addition to the inventory price loss, the industry estimates that Shun Hong’s fourth quarter of 2008 will only earn a small profit on the balance of profit and loss. The after-tax earnings per share are estimated to be between NT$0.01 and NT$0.05. The full-year after-tax earnings per share for the year 2008 was estimated at around NT$1.3. Yan Hong estimates that January revenue was flat at NT$170 million. The first quarter revenue is estimated to be 15%-20% lower than the previous quarter.
Hongqi's December revenue was approximately NT$123 million, and the fourth quarter revenue was NT$570 million, a 30% decrease and an annual decrease of 31%. As the capacity utilization rate is lower than 30%, the gross profit margin has also dropped to 13%-14% water level, and the industry has suffered losses. In addition, the inventory depreciation loss of the industry has reached 60 million NT dollars. The legal person estimates the Hongqi quarterly The post-tax loss per share amounted to NT$0.20, and the annual after-tax profit per share for the whole year of 2008 was around NT$1.3. Hong Qi expects that revenue in January should not be worse, and is expected to be the same as in December. There is even a chance to pick up in February. The first quarter revenue is estimated to be about 15% lower than the previous quarter.
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